|E-learning predictions 2008: Place your bets|
If there’s one thing you can predict with absolute certainty in e-learning, it’s that there will be quite a few prediction lists doing the rounds in January. We hate to be left out….
We’ve gone back to some of the experts who did such a fine job of predicting e-learning for us in 2007 to see if they can keep their game up for 2008.
For your futuristic pleasure, here are their thoughts. Set a reminder for December 31st and check back to see how they did.
Before they get their lists out in, here are a few from us
And now from the panel:
Jane Hart: doing it for herself…
Jane Hart runs the Centre for Learning & Performance Technologies
Charles Jennings: we’re all creators now…
1. Further move away from focus on learning content, and learning content delivery to provision of services.
2. Increased focus on relationships and relationship management throughout the L&D supply chain. Fewer, stronger partnerships.
3. Increased focus on learning outputs, particularly performance improvement, at the expense of the embedded view of training/learning as the end-point of the process.
4. Move to more co-creation of learning content using Web 2.0 and rapid development tools - Involving users, learning teams in organisations, individual experts, and specialist learning content development companies in equal measure. This will result in L&D organisations forging closer relationships withboth their customers andwith upstream suppliers - moving relationships from the 'customer-supplier' model to a 'co-creators' model. It will also result in a decline in supplier domination of content creation.
5. Increased focus by L&D professionals on tools that support and promote employee development and productivity in a world of increasing tacit interactions. Use in L&D context of technology supporting collaboration - virtual team environments, wikis, web and video conferencing, and blogs- will grow during 2008. This growth will also support increased co-creation.
6. Further decline in the use of generic eLearning libraries and correspondingincreased focus on 'bite-sized' bespoke disposable learning content delivered through Performance Support and other tools.
Charles Jennings is Global Head of Learning at Reuters
Donald Clark - The geeks shall inherit the earth
"I don’t make predictions, and I never will" said Glen Hoddle. That was before he found God (must have been one hell of a pass) and now he’s predicted the return of Christ and an Apocalypse! Standing on the shoulder of this giant I have both given up predicting changes in education and training. It’s become a futile exercise, because nothing changes, apart from the technology.
Like Glen I thank God for technology. Forget all those learning professionals who prattle on about it NOT being about the ‘technology’ but the ‘learning’. I predict that there will be, yet again, no significant shift in education and training away from outdated practice supported by fossilised theories. There will be no change on this front because education and training has now become its own worst enemy, still hopeless and hapless in its attachment to the classroom, course, competences and all the trappings of behaviourism. A training magazine or conference is no different now than it was 20 years ago – same old boring topics and talk – learning styles, coaching, compliance and diversity training, NLP, break-out sessions, Maslow, Gagne, Kirkpatrick. I nearly fell asleep typing that last sentence. In education and training every year is Groundhog Year. 2008 will be no different.
So what about technology? The real change in learning is coming from the deep driver that is the internet and then the wonders of consumer technology. The learning landscape has been transformed by Google (in the widest sense), Wikipedia (wikis in widest sense), iPODS, iPHONES, blackberries, wireless, cheap laptops, huge TVs, games (DX, Wii, Brain Training etc) and social networking. My faith lies with Generation Y and the Millennials. They are moving into the workforce and with their optimistic, media-savvy, empowered view of life, with the help of technology they’ll change the world for themselves. Long live the geeks, for they shall inherit the earth.
Donald Clark is a board member of Ufi and frequent blogger at http://donaldclarkplanb.blogspot.com/
Gabe Anderson: slightly biased but that’s ok….
Gabe Anderson is Director of Customer Support at Articulate
Laura Overton: from traction to action
I am not sure that 2008 will see any really wild changes in learning and technology – I think that perhaps the main shift for 2008 will be the way that L&D professionals use these tools to position themselves as a business partner rather than just a training provider. The pressure continues to increase on L&D professionals to create interventions that really align with the changing business environment. Building credibility as a potential partner to address critical business needs will be important for any L&D professional in 2008 - not only those based in companies but also those who are in our further and higher education institutions. The tools and techniques that started to gain traction in 2007 ( rapid application tools, use of open source tools, the role of informal learning, collaboration etc) will be increasingly important in 2008 as the L&D profession becomes more ‘business savvy’ in the way that they position their offerings to meet the needs of employers. I would look to 2008 to be the year that ‘relevance’, ‘speed’, ‘responsiveness’, ‘business impact’ and ‘efficiency’ become the norm in the vocabulary of L&D professionals rather than the exception.
Laura Overton is the director of e-learning at e-skills UK
You can find some further commentary from industry experts at